Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 82% on 27 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 11 Sep 2024 and the lowest 82% on 27 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 95.7% on 28 Aug 2024. $3.16M traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 27 Aug 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2024 | 82.0% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris and Donald Trump engage in a live, publicly-broadcast debate on September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both in-person debates and virtual debates will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The resolution source for this market will be footage of such a debate, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/harris-and-trump-debate-on-sept-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| kvadop | No | 5.26K |
| Gamblino | No | 5K |
| ZakGlove | No | 4.07K |
| Speedy-Peen | No | 3.51K |
| johnhenry | No | 2.83K |
| veshystep | No | 2.39K |
