Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 8 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 8 Aug 2026 and the lowest 40% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 97.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $1.3K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 10:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 8 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 42.0% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ilyck | No | 500 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gustavo Petro ceases to be President of Colombia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gustavo Petro's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gustavo Petro and the government of Colombia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gustavo-petro-out-as-leader-of-colombia-by
| No |
| 10 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
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