- What is the “GPT-5.4 released by March 5?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: GPT-5.4 released by March 5? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “GPT-5.4 released by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Mar 5, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.4 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.3, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family will…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
