Analytics
Yes is at 40.5%, down 9.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
The high was 59% on 29 May 2026 and the low 19% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 38.5%; a month ago, 30%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 45% on 19 Sep 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “GMGN FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$76.92 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.04K since listing. The order book holds $303.36, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 177 trades, $763.3 bought Yes and $817.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is rocky42005 with 198 shares; the largest No position is pootytherewardfarmer with 109. Ten wallets hold 97.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 10:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 27 May 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocky42005 | Yes | 198.39 |
| AJSV | Yes | 112.98 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 109.18 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gmgn-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| PBH |
| No |
| 76.92 |
| Offbeat-Injoke | No | 45 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 44.7 |
| Neon Kestrel D874 | No | 25.01 |
| vinii | No | 20 |
| cripes3 | Yes | 19.99 |
| explorer221 | No | 15.62 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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