What is the “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Gemini 4.0 released by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($92.16K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 90 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 72.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 21, 6:19 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics

beta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencegemini-4pt0-released-by-june-30-2026Updated 28d ago

Closed

Scheduled close Jul 1, 2026

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$92.2K

Scheduled close

Jul 1, 2026

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

28d ago

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

72%

Yes / No shares

20.76K / 282.81

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

231

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jul 1, 12:00 AM

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 1, 12:00 AM	0.2%	0.2%
Jun 30, 12:00 AM	0.3%	0.3%
Jun 29, 12:00 AM	0.4%	0.4%

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Gemini 4.0 released by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 1, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($92.16K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.