Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 21 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 16 Feb 2026 and the low 21.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 21.5% on 17 Feb 2026. $6.69K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 21 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 48.5% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 525.72 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 85 |
| Archer20240411 | Yes | 82.61 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 49.36 |
| 8bitmaker | Yes | 36 |
| Cannae | Yes | 32.24 |
| paas2 | Yes | 29 |
| bayuartika | Yes | 25 |
| Graceful-Affect | Yes | 20.09 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 17.86 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, February 21, 2026 between ES Troyes AC and Pau FC.
Resolution source: https://www.ligue2.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fr2-tro-pau-2026-02-21
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