Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 36% on 8 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 301 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 88.5% on 13 Mar 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 17% on 7 Aug 2025. $8.5K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 301 points, 8 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | 36.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Florida enacts any legislation or if the Governor issues a statewide executive order that explicitly bans mandates requiring individuals to receive mRNA vaccines. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The ban must apply to at least some private employers, public institutions, healthcare providers, and must specifically reference mRNA vaccines or a defined category that includes them. Temporary emergency orders or proposed bills that do not become law will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/florida-bans-mrna-vaccine-mandates-in-2025
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| lissartter | Yes | 145.59 |
| unicorns | Yes | 132.84 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 75 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 47.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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