
Resolved No on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 13 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 22 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 23 Jul 2026. $3.81K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pitiful-Impala | Yes | 179.25 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.99 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-round-outright-winner-in-the-sc-special-republican-senate-primary-20260721230048140
| Yes |
| 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| ChuckNorris112 | Yes | 5 |
| Vicee | Yes | 2.04 |
| wfsxfwetrdsf | Yes | 0.18 |
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