Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 22.5% on 1 Jul 2026. $14.04K traded over the market's life.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PontiusPilate | Yes | 443.33 |
| Josumg42 | Yes | 385.38 |
| Rude-Maniac | Yes | 384.62 |
| cookie96 | Yes | 236 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fifwc-mex-ecu-2026-06-30-more-markets
| Kogs | Yes | 219.49 |
| Villainous-Penalty | Yes | 217.61 |
| Extroverted-Agony-Underweight | Yes | 208.33 |
| hjktgcvguykj | Yes | 200.31 |
| DougJay | Yes | 200 |
| zaozaoqwen | Yes | 200 |
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