Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71%. Yes opened at 30% on 14 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 15 Oct 2025, the highest close was 30% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 29% on 15 Oct 2025. $12.11K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 8:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2025, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 30.0% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 5.09K |
| personp | Yes | 1K |
| Abdikariim45 | Yes | 591 |
| fischkopp | Yes | 547.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 14, 2025 between Mexico and Ecuador.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-mex-ecu-2025-10-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Riximoncadacoookedme | Yes | 333.33 |
| SGR | Yes | 331.07 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 221 |
| CaptainDarui | Yes | 170 |
| Knowing-Disembodiment | Yes | 166.6 |
| manuk3r | Yes | 136.43 |
