
Resolved No on 31 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 31 May 2026, the highest close was 49% on 15 May 2026 and the lowest 15% on 22 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 21.5% on 17 May 2026. $44.89K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 5:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 May 2026 – 31 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 44.0% |
| 31 May 2026 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Yes | 2.45K |
| Cannae | Yes | 1.72K |
| aabba | Yes | 1.6K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 676.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Saturday, May 30, 2026 between Mexico and Australia.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fif-mex-aus-2026-05-30
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