Analytics
Yes is at 7%, down 76 points from 83% when the market opened on 8 Jul 2026.
Across the 107 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 7% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42%; a month before, 43%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 49% on 9 Jul 2026.
It is one of 10 markets under “Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$78.09 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.59K since listing. The order book holds $16.36K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 58 trades, $108.42 bought Yes and $843.22 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 264 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 400. Ten wallets hold 89.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 8 Jul 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | 83.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 400 |
| AJSV | Yes | 264.29 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 209.39 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/felix-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Avoc |
| No |
| 194.77 |
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 100 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 74.17 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 51.5 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 40 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 31 |
| Piroop | No | 31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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