Fed rate cut by July 31?

Name: Fed rate cut by July 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No · settled Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
hellohello	Yes	23.26K	6.4%	$23.26K	Jul 31, 5:42 PM UTC
Impassioned-Rage	Yes	17.54K	5.3%	$17.54K	Jul 31, 3:37 PM UTC
Direct-Cappelletti	Yes	16.41K	7.9%	$16.41K	Jul 31, 6:00 PM UTC
Riverbear	Yes	12.06K	8.1%	$12.06K
nautikal	Yes	12.01K	8.3%	$12.01K
bet2win	Yes	9.41K	5.9%	$11.75K	Jul 30, 6:38 PM UTC
Ronmas	Yes	7.35K	3.4%	$7.35K	Jul 31, 3:51 PM UTC
splift	Yes	6.78K	7.7%	$6.78K	Jul 31, 4:13 PM UTC
hulk-260	Yes	5K	9.1%	$5K
ZiggyLFG	Yes	3.66K	12.2%	$3.66K
Adolescent-Hike	Yes	3.47K	5.8%	$3.47K
Geissbock	Yes	3.23K	6.5%	$3.23K
orange11677	Yes	3K	4.2%	$3K
Dekrypt	Yes	2.96K	5.8%	$2.96K	Jul 30, 8:11 PM UTC
POLYMARKETISGENEROUS	Yes	2.76K	12.0%	$2.77K	Jul 31, 6:02 PM UTC
PangolinKl	Yes	2.35K	10.6%	$2.35K
primary	Yes	2.33K	10.8%	$2.33K
hellome	Yes	1.15K	13.0%	$1.15K
xbxa	Yes	1.11K	8.9%	$1.11K
trador	Yes	1.1K	5.8%	$1.1K	Jul 31, 5:37 AM UTC
maxbet	Yes	1.05K	9.5%	$1.05K
bidenfan69	Yes	1.02K	5.9%	$1.02K
JohnnyG	Yes	1K	14.4%	$1K
foxx	Yes	1K	7.9%	$1K
flyer1	Yes	1K	5.7%	$1K
bobby2026	Yes	1K	5.0%	$1K	Jul 31, 9:54 AM UTC
AngelicWarrior	Yes	689.66	2.9%	$689.66	Jul 31, 5:40 PM UTC
sentimenta	Yes	600	7.4%	$600
simbyotic	Yes	505	5.9%	$505
ctrlitall	Yes	480.74	8.7%	$480.74
user123456789123	Yes	478.86	5.2%	$478.86
deeznuts7777	Yes	431.04	4.8%	$431.04	Jul 30, 8:34 AM UTC
fuckmetamask	Yes	416.67	12.0%	$416.67
sptrader	Yes	377.47	8.2%	$377.47
dnlkhr	Yes	373.84	6.6%	$373.84
Rapid Falcon BB8C	Yes	355.25	6.6%	$355.25
Grigoris89	Yes	280.41	10.6%	$280.41
zkjew	Yes	249.92	12.0%	$249.92
Grimy-Majorleague	Yes	200	7.0%	$200
tuta2	Yes	175.44	28.5%	$175.44
vkgcap	Yes	155.86	7.0%	$155.86
FR10	Yes	152.95	6.5%	$152.95
42Ledger-Brasil	Yes	152.53	5.9%	$152.53
CryptoCurious	Yes	147.73	8.8%	$147.73
shafi	Yes	143.87	7.5%	$143.87
MatP-425	Yes	136.36	11.0%	$136.36
Unknown007	Yes	107.14	8.4%	$107.14
Pokt-189	Yes	100	6.0%	$100
Rektboy	Yes	100	6.6%	$100
Ray69	Yes	88.31	5.9%	$88.31
david88-001	Yes	85.4	11.7%	$85.4
EasternBlock234	Yes	84.03	11.9%	$84.03
poopye	Yes	69.07	5.8%	$69.07	Jul 28, 7:44 PM UTC
guccifunk	Yes	62.5	8.0%	$62.5
MatPP	Yes	55.56	18.0%	$55.56
Jerkfish2	Yes	40.32	12.4%	$40.32
Nuked17	Yes	30	9.4%	$30
Cornfield Joe	No	29.03	68.9%	$29.03
wcj	Yes	19.52	10.2%	$19.52
brothertona	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$14.29
1godd	Yes	7.04	14.2%	$7.04
delka	No	5	95.4%	$5
Mola386	Yes	4.35	4.6%	$4.35
smittyj	Yes	1.33	75.0%	$1.33
laozhu2	No	1.32	92.5%	$1.32
Chinanews	No	1.12	92.5%	$1.12
lindaiyu	No	1.11	92.5%	$1.11
fazheng	No	1.08	92.5%	$1.08
baobao	No	1.08	92.5%	$1.08
dfasd	No	1.08	92.5%	$1.08
okij	No	1.08	92.7%	$1.08
Probable-Sourwood	No	1.08	93.0%	$1.08
LoneLyPop1	No	1.06	94.0%	$1.06
numbwintertwimed	No	0.88	92.2%	$0.88
Indigo Voyager E113	Yes	0.72	50.0%	$0
yingzheng	No	0.57	93.0%	$0.57
nongmin	No	0.54	92.7%	$0.54
seesmto	Yes	0.29	3.4%	$0.29	Jul 31, 4:59 PM UTC
uni505	Yes	0.29	3.4%	$0.29	Jul 31, 3:56 PM UTC
Violet Signal DCFB	Yes	0.29	7.0%	$0.29
taylaaa	Yes	0.23	4.3%	$0.23	Jul 30, 4:38 PM UTC
bookguest	Yes	0.22	4.5%	$0.22	Jul 30, 5:32 PM UTC
Rapid Meteor DEDA	Yes	0.18	10.9%	$0.18
lolbrowhatsup	Yes	0.18	5.5%	$0.18	Jul 29, 5:10 PM UTC
Indigo Pioneer 66DE	Yes	0.14	7.0%	$0.14
Crimson Oracle EB3D	Yes	0.14	7.0%	$0.14
Golden Atlas B0BE	Yes	0.13	7.8%	$0.13
Bold Lynx 749D	Yes	0.13	8.0%	$0.13
Azure Raven A896	Yes	0.13	8.0%	$0.13
Rapid Meteor 9130	Yes	0.1	10.0%	$0.1
Jade Harbor 41EE	Yes	0.1	10.0%	$0.1
Golden Ledger 4338	Yes	0.1	10.0%	$0.1
Jade Meteor 894B	Yes	0.1	10.0%	$0.1
Royal Harbor CE4A	Yes	0.1	10.0%	$0.1
Violet Falcon EB16	Yes	0.09	10.6%	$0.09
Coral Orbit 2E41	Yes	0.09	10.6%	$0.09
Amber Signal C576	Yes	0.09	11.0%	$0.09
Bright Vector 2BF8	Yes	0.09	11.0%	$0.09
Misty Orbit 07D2	Yes	0.09	11.0%	$0.09
Cosmic Lynx 50CA	Yes	0.09	11.0%	$0.09
Misty Harbor 8C23	Yes	0.09	11.0%	$0.09
Neon Quasar 71FC	Yes	0.09	83.4%	$7.29K
Emerald Pioneer 41D2	Yes	0.09	11.5%	$0.09
Amber Comet A7A4	Yes	0.08	11.9%	$0.08
Royal Quasar D33D	Yes	0.08	11.9%	$0.08
Solar Sphinx 7AC8	Yes	0.08	11.9%	$0.08
Solar Horizon 39AA	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Royal Pioneer A3E6	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Solar Vector 92C5	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Amber Falcon 9236	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Crimson Raven 50C8	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Solar Pulse D261	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Silver Pioneer 6537	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Indigo Maven C790	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Misty Pulse 5D77	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Azure Kestrel 73A2	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Crimson Maven 9F23	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Golden Orbit 8351	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Keen Maven 21CB	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Indigo Pioneer 6B95	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Golden Pioneer 39F3	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Golden Ledger 2F4C	Yes	0.08	12.0%	$0.08
Keen Signal 82A2	Yes	0.08	12.5%	$0.08
Jade Atlas A082	Yes	0.08	12.5%	$0.08
Bold Signal C322	Yes	0.08	12.5%	$0.08
Jiejie2	No	0.08	90.1%	$8.88
Silver Vector E308	Yes	0.07	13.9%	$0.07
happycc.eth	No	0.05	92.5%	$100
Blueberry	No	0.05	99.9%	$13.91K	Jul 31, 7:10 PM UTC
commeowder	No	0.03	95.1%	$2.82K
Milky-Something	No	0.03	93.8%	$60.71
Amber Kestrel 5CF2	Yes	0.02	20.9%	$4.78
kakalla	No	0.02	89.6%	$0.02
9flare	No	0.02	95.5%	$29.93K	Jul 31, 7:02 PM UTC
Traveler	No	0.02	94.0%	$0.02
Albert 1953	No	0.02	84.0%	$1.4K
Quiet Scout 81DD	Yes	0.02	6.4%	$159.99
DumbMoney1	No	0.02	94.0%	$1.8K
hljvvjo	No	0.01	93.5%	$0.01
Daisylove	No	0.01	94.8%	$0.01
etfzhienghoa	No	0.01	95.0%	$0.01
haunxiu2	No	0.01	95.5%	$0.01
dsertstorm	No	0.01	97.5%	$0.01	Jul 31, 4:52 PM UTC

143 of 143 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Cornfield Joe	$29.03
delka	$5
laozhu2	$1.32

Analytics