Analytics
Resolved 25bps cut on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had 25bps cut at 99.8%. The No Change side opened at 21% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 25 Nov 2025 and the low 0.3% on 28 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 3% on 26 Nov 2025. $20.71K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the No Change price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | No Change price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 21.0% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ObekT | No Change | 1.51K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No Change | 1.1K |
| songbird520 | No Change | 399.04 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No Change | 278 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “No Change” if “No Change” is the favorite in the Dec 10, 2025 Fed decision market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december) during the specified period. This market will resolve to “25bps cut” if “25 bps decrease” is the favorite during that period. The favorite will be determined by examining the 4-hour window between 10:00 AM ET and 1:59 PM ET on Friday, November 28, 2025. This market will resolve to whichever of “No Change” or “25 bps cut / 25 bps decrease” is ahead in more individual minutes during this window. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the Dec 10, 2025 “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on Federivative (https://federivative.polymarket.com/) with the range set to "6H" and the candle set to “1m” or through the “Resolution” tab on Federivative with the time set for November 28, 2025, 2:00 PM ET. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-derivative-no-change-or-25bps-cut-favored-on-friday
| caniggia3sol | No Change | 220 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No Change | 215.99 |
| Ksaich-Pack1 | No Change | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | No Change | 150 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No Change | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No Change | 146 |
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