Analytics
Resolved Henry on 8 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Henry at 50.5%. The Barkley side opened at 50% on 30 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 63% on 31 Aug 2025 and the low 42% on 6 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 42% on 6 Sep 2025. $375.12 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Barkley price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 30 Aug 2025 – 8 Sep 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Barkley price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Sep 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PMMMR | Barkley | 150 |
| lissartter | Barkley | 58.48 |
| Xpresso | Barkley | 32.26 |
| bernardy | Barkley | 9.68 |
| dafayyy | Barkley | 3.51 |
| ikaqw | Barkley | 2.26 |
| newton340 | Barkley | 1.52 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a polymarket on which player will record more fantasy points in Week 1 of the 2025–26 NFL regular season: Saquon Barkley or Derrick Henry. This market will resolve to “Barkley” if Saquon Barkley finishes Week 1 with more fantasy points than Derrick Henry, using ESPN’s FFL Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring. This market will resolve to “Henry” if Derrick Henry finishes Week 1 with more fantasy points than Saquon Barkley, using ESPN’s FFL Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring. If both players finish with the same number of fantasy points to the decimal, this market will resolve to the player whose last name is listed first alphabetically, in this case, Barkley. If either player’s Week 1 NFL regular season game is canceled or postponed beyond September 13, 2025, this market will resolve to 50–50. The resolution source for this market will be the ESPN Fantasy Football Leaders page for Week 1: https://fantasy.espn.com/football/leaders.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fantasy-football-barkley-vs-henry-week-1
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