Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 17 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 3.1% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Aug 2024. $117.36K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 17 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 2.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming that the Iranian government or Iranian-backed entities orchestrated or were directly involved in the assassination attempt on Donald J. Trump during his campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from relevant law enforcement agencies, and any information released from government investigations into the incident.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fact-check-iran-behind-attempt-on-trump
| clickingbuttons | Yes | 0.42 |
| monkey123 | No | 0.06 |
| GraceAlenWalker | No | 0.03 |
| hompsonfailmy | No | 0.02 |
| RubyClark | No | 0.02 |
| MarekyMarek | Yes | 0.02 |
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