Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 49% on 4 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 25% on 5 Oct 2026. $613.37 traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.77K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.98K |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 646 |
| Hjklm | Yes | 406.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-25
| merod | Yes | 372.14 |
| korda77 | Yes | 359.99 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 200 |
| 2200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f. | Yes | 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 120.16 |
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