Analytics
Yes is at 49.5%, about where the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 19 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75.5% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 48.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 75.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
$197.79 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.07, with a 49.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is YOONSS with 54 shares; the largest No position is Sardonic-Mimosa with 56.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 9:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sardonic-Mimosa | No | 55.99 |
| YOONSS | Yes | 54 |
| f54940e77 | Yes | 51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Virtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-safety-car-2026-10-25
| TatumGoat00 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| RR1 | No | 50 |
| PredictJon | No | 50 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | 30 |
| Grown-Hood | Yes | 20 |
| Terrific-Strike | Yes | 6 |
| ahmlkn | Yes | 3.39 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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