Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34.4%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 11.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $35.21K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 30, 11:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 53.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 34.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grand-Borrower | No | 417.52 |
| Gray-Grand | No | 150 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 149.99 |
| Lavincey | No | 149.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-japanese-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-03-29
| Rapid Falcon 4A6D | No | 100 |
| crossx | No | 53 |
| Unwelcome-Update | No | 31.35 |
| Droselot | No | 14.31 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 11 |
| max33 | No | 10.55 |
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