Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 49% on 16 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2026 to 6 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 5 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 4% on 1 Sep 2026. $228.8 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 16 Aug 2026 – 6 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 6 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Italian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Italian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-italian-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-09-06
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