Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 1.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $413.56 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 2:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 45.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 268.47 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| TanksOMW | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-hungarian-grand-prix-constructor-pole-position-2026-07-25
| Yes |
| 50 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
| merod | Yes | 25.41 |
| korda77 | Yes | 15.39 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Ivory Quasar 70A8 | Yes | 14 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
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