Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 27% on 3 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 27% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 20.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $86.98K traded over the market's life.
141 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 3:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.71K |
| Tobias1909 | Yes | 10K |
| TENETINO | Yes | 4.09K |
| takeormake | Yes | 3.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 11, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-bahrain-grand-prix-winner-2026-10-04
| Venom589 | Yes | 2.41K |
| Elated-Sweatshop | Yes | 1.94K |
| Rentabar | Yes | 1K |
| Hjklm | Yes | 805.36 |
| polymarket2026 | Yes | 600 |
| Gladius7 | Yes | 570.53 |
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