Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 3 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 58% on 3 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 67.5% on 4 Oct 2026. $13.95K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 5, 3:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 4 Oct 2026, chart shows 55%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 58.0% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 2Week1Shower | No | 961.74 |
| mishipolis | No | 861.53 |
| bromberg | No | 679.33 |
| StudyPrediction | No | 296.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Bahrain Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Bahrain Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-bahrain-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-10-04
| Hjklm | No | 160.6 |
| Trr111 | No | 118.43 |
| Jubilant-Reunion | No | 84.99 |
| PPMT | No | 33.26 |
| aspitirus | No | 29.99 |
| peepofeet | No | 21.5 |
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