Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the price held at 0.1%.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 4:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 44.12K |
| rated | Yes | 6.48K |
| DavidShekel | Yes | 1.96K |
| Spiffy-Speech | Yes | 1K |
| shine | Yes | 856 |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 736.04 |
| EdwardLewis | Yes | 638.73 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 474.79 |
| vger7 | Yes | 200 |
| Grizzled-Following | Yes | 173.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET). If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-australian-grand-prix-winner-2026-03-07
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