Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 11% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 11% on 5 Mar 2026 and the low 1.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 1.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 9:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 11.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 432.49 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 390 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 139 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 85 |
| vger7 | Yes | 66 |
| v7H | Yes | 59.99 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| paspor | Yes | 47.3 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET). If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-australian-grand-prix-constructor-pole-position-2026-03-07
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