Analytics
The Up side is at 41.5% on Polymarket.
$5.25K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.25K since listing. The order book holds $41.9K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 100 trades, $1.5K bought Up and $965.47 bought Down.
The largest Up position is Niseko with 1.4K shares; the largest Down position is Impressive-Steak with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 91.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 12:12 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 26 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–45%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 1.44K |
| Niseko | Up | 1.4K |
| vedaresearch.eth | Down | 447 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-26-2026
| HaileyWelch |
| Up |
| 411 |
| coinfilippe | Down | 402.21 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Up | 387 |
| batorek42 | Down | 300 |
| ComTruise | Up | 231.95 |
| beoli | Up | 100 |
| High-Notation | Down | 55.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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