Analytics
The Up side is at 70.5% on Polymarket.
$5.27K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $33.22K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 165 trades, $2.04K bought Up and $464.13 bought Down.
The largest Up position is fred4332 with 1K shares; the largest Down position is Niseko with 1K. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 6:36 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 64%–76%
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 70.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fred4332 | Up | 1K |
| Niseko | Down | 1K |
| gobblewobble | Down | 895.65 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-25-2026
| Impressive-Steak |
| Down |
| 865.61 |
| High-Notation | Up | 660.95 |
| 196874353278 | Up | 507 |
| coinfilippe | Down | 474.34 |
| ComTruise | Up | 411.17 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | Up | 246 |
| Tokor | Up | 222.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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