Analytics
The Up side is at 1.3%, down 49 points from 50% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 22 Oct 2026. The current quote, 1.3%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 1.4% on 22 Oct 2026.
$55.62K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $34.69K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 490 trades, $4.55K bought Up and $16.34K bought Down; the largest was a $1.74K buy of Down at 96.0¢.
The largest Up position is suntori with 8.7K shares; the largest Down position is Impressive-Steak with 9.5K. Ten wallets hold 78.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:22 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Down | 9.55K |
| suntori | Up | 8.73K |
| c231dw1 | Up | 6.65K |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-22-2026
| gobblewobble |
| Down |
| 4.28K |
| easyclap | Down | 3.29K |
| vedaresearch.eth | Down | 2.39K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Up | 2.02K |
| Pesky-Hole | Down | 1.85K |
| momingqimiao | Up | 1.49K |
| Caring-Fannypack | Up | 1.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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