Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 31 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 71.5% on 31 Jul 2025 and the lowest 24.5% on 1 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 24.5% on 1 Aug 2025. $14.95K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 31 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2025 | 71.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the percentage change for Ethereum is higher than the percentage change for Bitcoin on the date specified in the title. Otherwise it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT charts: https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3AETHUSDT The percentage change displayed at the top of the chart for each asset’s “1D” candle on the date specified in the title will be used once both candles are finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to TradingView's BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT pairs, not according to other sources or spot markets
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-outperforms-bitcoin-on-july-31
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