Analytics
Resolved Negative on 24 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Negative at 50.5%. The Positive side opened at 50% on 22 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Oct 2025 to 24 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 22 Oct 2025 and the lowest 49.5% on 24 Oct 2025. $733.42 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 8:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Positive price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Oct 2025 – 24 Oct 2025, chart shows 44%–56%
| Observed | Positive price |
|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Positive | 254 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Positive | 145 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Positive | 62 |
| PepsiSexi | Positive | 54.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Ethereum ETF flows on Thursday, October 23, 2025 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/eth/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been published. If data for any ETF provider remains unpublished by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the date specified in the title, the market will resolve based on all available data published up to that time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or fails to publish any data by 12 PM ET, 2 days after the specified date, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://farside.co.uk/eth/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-etf-flows-on-october-23
| RobbieSuperDegen | Positive | 41.43 |
| badbetsandwins | Positive | 20 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Positive | 5 |
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