
Resolved No on 3 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 22% on 28 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 10.5% on 29 Oct 2025. $21.8K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 22.0% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Odom1 | Yes | 4.93K |
| Lunar Lynx FE34 | Yes | 968.37 |
| Useful-Uniform | Yes | 450 |
| ihaf | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-november-3
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 194 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 81 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 44 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 36 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 29 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 28 |
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