
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 19 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 37% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.2% on 25 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 19% on 22 Oct 2025. $42.3K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | 28.5% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HenryVIII | Yes | 12.2K |
| Brando22 | Yes | 2.37K |
| overfenix | Yes | 999.97 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 465 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-25
| okx-sol1 | Yes | 229.6 |
| Arashi07 | Yes | 170 |
| trankiet | Yes | 133.33 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 131.98 |
| beefmonkey27 | Yes | 110.12 |
| JustBeHappy | Yes | 100 |
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