
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 5.3% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jan 2026. $32.7K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 4.3% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ssddsssssss | Yes | 7.47K |
| sssddfdddd | Yes | 6.02K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.29K |
| Magnificent-Windage | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-january-12
| Unfortunate-Windchime | Yes | 1K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 221.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 197.11 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 170.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 143.02 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 116 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page