Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 1.4% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.4% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 24 Oct 2026. $946.5 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 6:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 1.4% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mrkensei | Yes | 921.5 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-26-2026
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