
Resolved Yes on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 96.8% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 12 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 12 Jan 2026 and the lowest 96.8% on 6 Jan 2026. $132.5K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 96.8% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kiwitrades | No | 13.24K |
| 66sssddddd | No | 4.61K |
| dfgdk | No | 1.5K |
| zhanjie | No | 1.1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-january-12
| VoidSentinel | No | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 534.21 |
| Magnificent-Windage | No | 333.33 |
| fangluqiao | No | 274 |
| shantuixin | No | 274 |
| yarendao | No | 264 |
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