Analytics
Yes is at 15.5%, down 11 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 34.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 26?”.
$568.55 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $8.86K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Lunar Horizon 9823 with 500 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 431.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 6:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 26.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 15.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Horizon 9823 | Yes | 500 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 431.45 |
| Royal Signal A0D7 | No | 68.55 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-26-2026
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
