Analytics
Yes is at 98.4%, up 2.9 points from 95.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.4% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 95.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Ethereum above ___ on October 30?”.
$90.55 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.81K since listing. The order book holds $34.64K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $551.33 bought Yes and $325.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 8.6K shares; the largest No position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 8K. Ten wallets hold 99.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 95.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 98.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 8.55K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 8K |
| gt197 | No | 410.95 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-october-30-2026
| 196874353278 |
| No |
| 80.55 |
| MyLastStand | No | 40 |
| longhold | Yes | 33.4 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| rndcnm | Yes | 17.21 |
| cryingbabydicer87 | Yes | 10 |
| asdfasd11 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
