Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 35% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 82% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 8 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 82% on 5 Mar 2026.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 6:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 35.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Juicy-Horn | Yes | 8.54K |
| Grave-Suit | Yes | 7K |
| Warzone | Yes | 5K |
| UncleJimmy85 | Yes | 3.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-8
| hadllshi | Yes | 3.21K |
| mubiao500000u | Yes | 442.38 |
| FunkyMonkey | Yes | 400 |
| SingW | Yes | 398.14 |
| DRUSIK | Yes | 333 |
| nandor79 | Yes | 200 |
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