
Resolved Yes on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67%. Yes opened at 78% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026, the highest close was 83.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 67% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 67% on 27 Mar 2026. $70.77K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 7:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 78.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 67.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joking22 | No | 3.72K |
| Tame-Loading | No | 2.72K |
| fomod | No | 1.18K |
| TENETENET | No | 499.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-31
| 231321456 | No | 300 |
| fuzhengsha | No | 206.66 |
| Last-Envy | No | 203.49 |
| xiegucong | No | 182.98 |
| Golden Beacon 5C43 | No | 167.98 |
| Ontilt00 | No | 159.61 |
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