
Resolved Yes on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 77% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 26 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99% on 26 Mar 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 87.5% on 24 Mar 2026.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 5:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 77.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0ximafkingjerk | No | 10.2K |
| FreeLancerZ | No | 8.12K |
| Tame-Loading | No | 7.38K |
| gobblewobble | No | 5.91K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-26
| fomod | No | 2.74K |
| Last-Envy | No | 1.46K |
| Fartard | No | 845.81 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| 96BlacklioN96 | No | 277.76 |
| fegwre | No | 269.99 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page