
Resolved Yes on 25 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.8%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 19 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2026 to 25 Mar 2026, the highest close was 98.8% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 23 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 92.5% on 24 Mar 2026.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 26, 3:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Mar 2026 – 25 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2026 | 84.5% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | 98.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gobblewobble | No | 10K |
| Tame-Loading | No | 5.38K |
| qqqq88888 | No | 3.4K |
| yoda0x | No | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-25
| IH2P | No | 1.23K |
| Bernak79 | No | 1K |
| linxuyuan | No | 840 |
| 96745242 | No | 814.5 |
| Faulkner12 | No | 790 |
| zengweui | No | 760 |
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