
Resolved Yes on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 58% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 58% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 64% on 12 Mar 2026.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 3:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 58.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | No | 5.11K |
| kiwitrades | No | 4.59K |
| Trifling-Barbecue | No | 3.3K |
| IH2P | No | 2.39K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-17
| indomaret | No | 2K |
| ilvs | No | 1.5K |
| bvnedrgtsxd | No | 1.12K |
| nbmdrtgsd | No | 1.12K |
| rtyytuguigfhj | No | 1.06K |
| Huggins | No | 1K |
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