
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2026 to 14 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37.5% on 9 Mar 2026.
103 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 4:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | No | 3.84K |
| Immaculate-Cougar | No | 2.59K |
| Silver Oracle 2DFB | No | 2.34K |
| OGNAKAMOTO | No | 1.14K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-14
| TENETENET | No | 999.99 |
| morilun | No | 899.33 |
| devyatkapentaklej | No | 710.47 |
| ChilledTrader | No | 607.72 |
| lenoxy1 | No | 383.78 |
| ilvs | No | 214.28 |
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