
Resolved Yes on 13 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 73% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 62% on 11 Mar 2026.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 44.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | No | 6.83K |
| Iugurta | No | 2K |
| vedaresearch3 | No | 458.58 |
| IH2P | No | 436.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-13
| lenoxy1 | No | 404.22 |
| Fateed | No | 263.99 |
| gobblewobble | No | 254.48 |
| GainProfit | No | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| Vague-Oleo | No | 175.49 |
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