
Resolved Yes on 10 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 45.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 10 Mar 2026, the highest close was 76.5% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 76.5% on 5 Mar 2026.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 11, 6:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 10 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 10 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JackSparrowOnChain | No | 21.5K |
| 0xdaB4a377AF | No | 20K |
| shuanyang | No | 15K |
| Uncomfortable-Spectrum | No | 6.8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-march-10
| hyperzhao | No | 6.64K |
| Scaly-Transportation | No | 6.5K |
| zzzzz12434 | No | 4.79K |
| SingW | No | 4.74K |
| Wasteful-Fraudster | No | 1.25K |
| TENETENET | No | 1K |
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