
Resolved No on 11 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 35%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 11 Feb 2026, the highest close was 84.5% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 26% on 6 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 26% on 6 Feb 2026. $269.04K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 11 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 73.5% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 65.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyBlaster | Yes | 7.39K |
| Crimson Raven B9D7 | Yes | 4K |
| Jade Atlas 0EAA | Yes | 3.9K |
| Lunar Kestrel DAC5 | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-on-february-11
| superai | Yes | 2K |
| Each-Naming | Yes | 850 |
| gobblewobble | Yes | 529.96 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 425 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 287 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 263 |
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