Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 73% on 9 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Mar 2024 to 15 Mar 2024, the highest close was 73% on 9 Mar 2024 and the lowest 20.5% on 15 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 20.5% on 15 Mar 2024. $51.27K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Mar 2024 – 15 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2024 | 73.0% |
| 15 Mar 2024 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sendmenudes | Yes | 38.65 |
| Garytech | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Coinbase 1 minute candle for ETH-USD 15 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 4000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the ETH-USD "Close" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase ETH-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/ETH-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-above-4000-next-friday
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