Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 23.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 23 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2024 to 29 Mar 2024, the highest close was 76.5% on 29 Mar 2024 and the lowest 30.5% on 24 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 68% on 26 Mar 2024. $82.11K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Mar 2024 – 29 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2024 | 37.5% |
| 29 Mar 2024 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shinguang | Yes | 976.61 |
| Quickbet | Yes | 4.48 |
| LuisRodriguez | Yes | 2.22 |
| MKUltra-676 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 29 Mar '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3,500.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-above-3500-on-mar-29
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