Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 17% on 7 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 116 daily closes on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 41.2% on 12 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 41.2% on 12 Feb 2025. $101.03K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 1:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 116 points, 7 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2024 | 17.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jeetco | Yes | 3.8K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 1.38K |
| WBoPTMcskx | Yes | 200 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Mayor of New York Eric Adams announces he is becoming or has become a Republican between December 5, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first such announcement made by Adams. If Adams later retracts this statement or never makes the formal change, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Eric Adams or his representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eric-adams-a-republican-before-april
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 200 |
| DriftwoodDeviant | Yes | 189.01 |
| goldwig | Yes | 176.77 |
| cXqbVfHgvT | Yes | 171 |
| IxALwMesPE | Yes | 150 |
| DGadLxdwLl | Yes | 150 |
| Dearest-Paperwork | Yes | 128.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
