Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 28 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 220 daily closes on record from 28 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 7.5% on 30 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. $67.55K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 220 points, 28 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 317.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 267 |
| ayeeeeeeeee | Yes | 258.56 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel or Brigitte Macron announce their intention to divorce between by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Emmanuel or Brigitte Macron and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/emmanuel-brigitte-macron-divorce-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 206 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 157 |
| barmesh | Yes | 100 |
| bigbrainUser | Yes | 100 |
| aureli | Yes | 77.9 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 67.06 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 50.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
